Politics

Barnier’s Brexit timeline: No transition deal until October 2018

Barnier’s Brexit timeline: No transition deal until October 2018 March 3, 2018Leave a comment
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According to your document circulated by Michel Barnier, a Brexit transition deal will never be formalized until October next season | Julien Warnand/EPA

According towards a document circulated by Michel Barnier, a Brexit transition deal will never be formalized until October buy | Julien Warnand/EPA

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STRASBOURG – A Brexit transition deal involving the EU as well as U.K. isn\’t going to be formalized until October next season, according to a document made by?EU Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier.

Under a best-case scenario in which EU leaders decide in December that sufficient progress has become reached from the Brexit talks to move to cost-free phase, a “tentative timeline” for the talks specified by the document shows that negotiations at a transition will not begin until around February next season.

They would begin in parallel with “preliminary and preparatory discussions” on Britain’s future relationship when using the bloc, culminating in a deal being finalized within the October 2018 European Council summit that has a “political declaration on future relationship.” That is going to leave here we are at ratification by national parliaments as well as European Parliament prior to the U.K.’s leaving date in March 2019.

This style of transition will more than likely reassure most U.K. businesses though the timetable on-page two document will ring alarm bells.

The 14-page document circulated by Barnier to persons in the European Parliament’s Brexit steering group inside of a technical seminar and seen by POLITICO also confirms the EU Brexit chief might be prepared to push for just a “stand still” transition in which the U.K. remains while in the single market and customs union and in the jurisdiction of your European Court of Justice. Celebrate clear that Britain will have “no institutional rights” during that period, meaning that it\’d haven\’t any political presence in the European institutions with no voting rights inside the Council.

This label of transition will likely reassure most U.K. businesses but the timetable on page two document will ring alarm bells. They\’re are anxious for more clarity for the regulations they\’ll have to operate under if the U.K. leaves. Without that clarity, many threaten to trigger intentions to relocate aspects of their operations for the EU27 or redirect investments.

Speaking in October, U.K. Chancellor Philip Hammond spoke for many businesses as he said a transitional deal would be a “wasting asset.”

David Davis, the U.K. Brexit secretary,?told MPs a few weeks ago he believed a \”quick\” transition agreement may very well be performed by \”December or thereafter,\” with talks then progressing to some trade deal with the EU. But Barnier’s document points too under the EU framework, the talks on transition as well as “framework for future relationship” – meaning anything from trade to defense – would start early next year and proceed in parallel with transition talks, in lieu of one following the other.

The document isn\’t going to specify how long a transition would last – May proposed about 2 years in her own Florence speech?in September – but it does explain that from the Commission’s view, any extension of the period would only happen within the EU27’s terms. The document states that an extension box would just be granted whether or not it was “necessary, legally feasible, [and] during the Union’s interest.”

David Davis told MPs recently he believed a \”quick\” transition agreement may just be made by \”December or thereafter” | Jack Taylor/Getty Images

It also specifies the quantity of participation that this U.K. can anticipate on a transition. “General rule: the U.K. will no longer participates inside work with the Union bodies or organs over the transition period,” it states, even though it lists two exceptional categories the location where the U.K. can be granted observer status. These are definitely the location where the U.K.’s participation as a possible observer is relevant for the implementation of EU law where the proceedings concern the U.K. specifically. The two examples cited through the document – a committee on VAT and the other on competition – are advisory bodies which may have no decision-making powers.

Despite the U.K.’s dominant position on defense due to the well equipped military and U.N. Security Council seat, there isn\’t any reference to any special status for your U.K. on defense matters.

A separate document seen by POLITICO makes clear that given London’s rejection of single market and customs union membership, Brussels believes that your Canada-style trade deal is the only realistic model for the U.K.’s future relationship using the EU.

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